Development of Collision Risk Evaluation Model Between Passing Vessel and Mokpo Harbour Bridge

Yim, Jeong-Bin

Journal of Navigation and Port Research 2010;34(6):405-415.
Published online August 30, 2010.

통항 선박과 목포 대교의 충돌 위기 평가 모델 개발

임정빈

Development of Collision Risk Evaluation Model Between Passing Vessel and Mokpo Harbour Bridge

Jeong-Bin Yim

Abstract

To assess the possible collision risk between Mokpo Harbour Bridge, which is under construction, and passing vessels, we proposed Real-Time Bridge-Vessel Collision Model (RT-BVCM) in this paper. The mathematical model of RT-BVCM consists of the causation probability by the vessel aberrancy due to navigation environments, the geometric probability by the structural feature of a bridge relative to a ship size and, the failure probability by the ship collision track and the stopping distance which is not to come to a stop before hitting the obstacles. Then, the probabilistic mathematical model represented as risk index with the risk level from 1 to 5. The merit of the proposed model to the collision model proposed by AASHTO (American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials) is that it can provide enough time to take adequate collision avoiding action. Through the simulation tests to the two kinds of test ships, 3,000 GT and 10,000 GT, it is cleary found that the proposed model can be used as a collision evaluation model to the passing vessel and Mokpo Harbour Bridge.

Key Words: Mokpo Harbour Bridge;Collision Accident;Collision Model;Risk Index;Collision Avoidance